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Solar Bulletin December, 2002
Solar Bulletin |
| THE AMERICAN ASSOCIATION OF VARIABLE STAR OBSERVERS - SOLAR DIVISION |
Carl E. Feehrer, Editor
9 Gleason Rd.
Bedford, MA 01730 | Email: cfeehrer@hotmail.com
ISSN 0271-8480 |
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| Volume 58 Number 12 | December 2002 |
|
Table I. Mean Sunspot Numbers for December 2002 [boldface = maximum, minimum] | Table II. December Observers |
| Day |
N |
Raw |
s.d. |
Ra |
s.d. |
s.e. |
| 1 |
27 |
95 |
4.8 |
75 |
2.6 |
0.50 |
| 2 |
24 |
100 |
4.5 |
74 |
1.9 |
0.39 |
| 3 |
28 |
101 |
4.7 |
77 |
3.1 |
0.59 |
| 4 |
19 |
96 |
5.9 |
76 |
3.8 |
0.87 |
| 5 |
23 |
116 |
6.2 |
83 |
3.3 |
0.69 |
| 6 |
25 |
116 |
6.4 |
90 |
4.5 |
0.90 |
| 7 |
30 |
116 |
4.3 |
89 |
2.9 |
0.53 |
| 8 |
22 |
130 |
7.7 |
102 |
3.6 |
0.77 |
| 9 |
27 |
141 |
9.8 |
109 |
5.0 |
0.96 |
| 10 |
22 |
134 |
9.0 |
98 |
3.8 |
0.81 |
| 11 |
26 |
97 |
8.5 |
66 |
3.9 |
0.76 |
| 12 |
29 |
103 |
6.4 |
73 |
3.1 |
0.58 |
| 13 |
25 |
111 |
6.1 |
82 |
3.6 |
0.72 |
| 14 |
21 |
171 |
9.4 |
124 |
4.7 |
1.03 |
| 15 |
29 |
179 |
9.9 |
136 |
3.2 |
0.59 |
| 16 |
25 |
194 |
9.9 |
142 |
4.8 |
0.96 |
| 17 |
20 |
211 |
13.2 |
156 |
5.8 |
1.30 |
| 18 |
25 |
196 |
9.6 |
152 |
5.0 |
1.00 |
| 19 |
23 |
189 |
11.1 |
148 |
6.1 |
1.27 |
| 20 |
21 |
222 |
19.4 |
151 |
6.6 |
1.44 |
| 21 |
30 |
172 |
9.2 |
128 |
3.9 |
0.71 |
| 22 |
27 |
148 |
7.3 |
110 |
3.1 |
0.60 |
| 23 |
22 |
116 |
9.2 |
86 |
4.2 |
0.90 |
| 24 |
21 |
81 |
6.3 |
61 |
2.5 |
0.55 |
| 25 |
26 |
51 |
2.8 |
40 |
1.8 |
0.35 |
| 26 |
26 |
44 |
2.6 |
33 |
1.5 |
0.29 |
| 27 |
23 |
42 |
2.3 |
33 |
1.6 |
0.33 |
| 28 |
32 |
36 |
2.6 |
27 |
1.3 |
0.23 |
| 29 |
20 |
47 |
3.0 |
36 |
2.7 |
0.60 |
| 30 |
22 |
39 |
3.5 |
29 |
1.4 |
0.30 |
| 31 |
30 |
47 |
3.1 |
35 |
1.7 |
0.31 |
|
Means: | | 117.4 | | 87.7 | | |
No. of Observations: 770
No. of Observers: 66
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Reporting Addresses |
Sunspot Reports -- email: solar@aavso.org
- postal mail: AAVSO, 25 Birch St. Cambridge, MA 02138
- FAX (AAVSO): (617) 354-0665
| |
SID Solar Flare Reports -- email: noatak@aol.com
- postal mail: Mike Hill
114 Prospect St. Marlboro, MA 01752
|
|
| 16 |
AAP |
P.Abbott |
| 1 |
ANDE |
E.Anderson |
| 12 |
ARAG |
G.Araujo |
| 11 |
BARH |
H.Barnes |
| 6 |
BEB |
R.Berg |
| 4 |
BERJ |
J.Berdejo |
| 18 |
BMF |
M.Boschat |
| 10 |
BOJP |
P.Bojda |
| 29 |
BOSB |
B.Bose |
| 20 |
BRAB |
B.Branchett |
| 5 |
BRAD |
D.Branchett |
| 14 |
BROB |
R.Brown |
| 2 |
BURS |
S.Burgess |
| 8 |
CAMP |
P.Campbell |
| 15 |
CARJ |
J.Carlson |
| 26 |
CHAG |
G.Morales |
| 19 |
CKB |
B.Cudnik |
| 6 |
CLZ |
C.Laurent |
| 4 |
COMT |
T.Compton |
| 31 |
CORA |
A.Coroas |
| 30 |
CR |
T.Cragg |
| 4 |
DELS |
S.Delaney |
| 16 |
DGP |
G.Dyck |
| 10 |
DRAJ |
J.Dragesco |
| 24 |
ELR |
E.Reed |
| 10 |
FEEC |
C.Feehrer |
| 11 |
FERJ |
J.Fernandes |
| 20 |
FLET |
T.Fleming |
| 19 |
FUJK |
K.Fujimori |
| 19 |
GIOR |
R.Giovanoni |
| 2 |
GOEM |
M.Goetz |
| 5 |
GOTS |
S.Gottschalk |
| 3 |
HAYK |
K.Hay |
| 4 |
HRUT |
T.Hrutkay |
| 5 |
JEFT |
T.Jeffrey |
| 13 |
KAPJ |
J.Kaplan |
| 23 |
KHAR |
R.Khan |
| 19 |
KNJS |
J&S Knight |
| 1 |
KROL |
L.Krozel |
| 6 |
LARJ |
J.Larriba |
| 4 |
LERM |
M.Lerman |
| 20 |
LEVM |
M.Leventhal |
| 15 |
MALK |
K.Malde |
| 4 |
MARE |
E.Mariani |
| 19 |
MARJ |
J.Maranon |
| 18 |
MCE |
E.Mochizuki |
| 4 |
MILJ |
J.Miller |
| 13 |
MMI |
M.Moeller |
| 12 |
OBSO |
IPS Observatory |
| 3 |
RICE |
E.Richardson |
| 12 |
RITA |
A.Ritchie |
| 8 |
SCGL |
G.Schott |
| 1 |
SDP |
D.Sharples |
| 1 |
SIMC |
C.Simpson |
| 9 |
STEM |
G.Stemmler |
| 8 |
STQ |
N.Stoikidis |
| 23 |
SUZM |
M.Suzuki |
| 17 |
TESD |
D.Teske |
| 9 |
THR |
R.Thompson |
| 7 |
TJV |
J.Temprano |
| 14 |
URBP |
P.Urbanski |
| 13 |
VALD |
D.delValle |
| 13 |
VARG |
A.Vargas |
| 5 |
VELM |
M.Velea |
| 7 |
VIDD |
D.Vidican |
| 10 |
WILW |
W.Wilson |
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| Table III. Means of Raw Group Counts (RG) and Ratios of Spots to Groups (S:G) in December 2002 |
| Day |
RG |
S:G |
Day |
RG |
S:G |
Day |
RG |
S:G |
Day |
RG |
S:G |
| 1 |
5.3 |
7.9 |
9 |
10.2 |
3.8 |
17 |
9.2 |
12.9 |
25 |
4.2 |
2.1 |
| 2 |
5.5 |
8.2 |
10 |
8.8 |
5.2 |
18 |
9.4 |
10.9 |
26 |
3.5 |
2.6 |
| 3 |
6.3 |
6.0 |
11 |
5.8 |
6.7 |
19 |
9.3 |
10.3 |
27 |
3.3 |
2.7 |
| 4 |
5.9 |
6.3 |
12 |
6.7 |
5.4 |
20 |
8.9 |
14.9 |
28 |
2.8 |
2.9 |
| 5 |
7.6 |
5.3 |
13 |
6.8 |
6.3 |
21 |
8.1 |
11.2 |
29 |
3.5 |
3.4 |
| 6 |
7.8 |
4.9 |
14 |
9.3 |
8.4 |
22 |
7.3 |
10.3 |
30 |
2.6 |
5.0 |
| 7 |
8.1 |
4.3 |
15 |
9.1 |
9.7 |
23 |
6.5 |
7.9 |
31 |
3.2 |
4.7 |
| 8 |
9.8 |
3.3 |
16 |
8.6 |
12.6 |
24 |
5.6 |
4.5 |
Mn. |
6.74 |
6.8 |
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Click image to enlarge. Fig.1. 10 cm Solar Flux and Comparison of Ri (provisional) and Ra Estimates for December (r=0.986).
(Ri Source: http://sidc..oma.be/index.php3)
(10cm Source: http://www.drao.nrc.ca/icarus) |
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Click image to enlarge. Fig.2 Maximum, Mean, and Minimum Ra Values for Each Month from January 2001 to Present. |
| Table IV. Sunspot and SID Observers Who Contributed Solar Reports During 2002. |
| AAP |
Patrick Abbott |
Canada |
| ANDE |
Eric Anderson |
USA |
| ARAG |
Gema Araujo |
India |
|
| ATON |
Antonio Attanasio |
Italy |
| BARH |
Howard Barnes |
New Zealand |
| BATR |
Roberto Battaiola |
Italy |
| BEB |
Ray Berg |
USA |
| BEDJ |
James Bedient |
USA |
| BERJ |
Jose Berdejo |
Spain |
| BEU |
Edward Blankenship |
USA |
| BLAJ |
John Blackwell |
USA |
| BMF |
Michael Boschat |
Canada |
| BOJP |
Piotr Bojda |
Poland |
| BOSB |
Biswajit Bose |
India |
| BRAB |
Brenda Branchett |
USA |
| BRAD |
David Branchett |
USA |
| BRAR |
Robert Branch |
USA |
| BROB |
Bob Brown |
USA |
| BURS |
Scott Burgess |
USA |
| CAMP |
Paul Campbell |
Canada |
| CARJ |
Jim Carlson |
USA |
| CHAG |
German Morales |
Bolivia |
| CKB |
Brian Cudnik |
USA |
| CLZ |
Laurent Corp |
France |
| COMT |
Thomas Compton |
USA |
| CORA |
Angel Coroas |
Cuba |
| CR |
Tom Cragg |
Australia |
| CVJ |
Jose Carvajal |
Spain |
| DEL |
Susan Delaney |
USA |
| DEMF |
Frank Dempsey |
Canada |
| DGP |
Gerald Dyck |
USA |
| DRAJ |
Jean Dragesco |
France |
| DUBF |
Franky Dubois |
Belgium |
| ELR |
Ed Reed |
USA |
| ERRA |
Adriana Errico |
Spain |
| FEEC |
Carl Feehrer |
USA |
| FERJ |
Jose Fernandez |
Spain |
| FLET |
Tom Fleming |
USA |
| FUJK |
Kenichi Fujimori |
Japan |
| GARE |
Eduardo Garcia |
Uruguay |
| GIOR |
Richard Giovanoni |
USA |
| GOEM |
Martin Goetz |
Germany |
| GOTS |
Steve Gottschalk |
USA |
| GUNM |
Marcello Gundlach |
Boliva |
| HALB |
Brian Halls |
England |
| HAYK |
Kim Hayk |
Canada |
| HRUT |
Timothy Hrutkay |
USA |
| JAMD |
David James |
USA |
| JEFT |
Thomas Jeffrey |
USA |
| JENJ |
Jamey Jenkins |
USA |
| JENS |
Simon Jenner |
England |
| KAPJ |
John Kaplan |
USA |
| KHAR |
Rana Khan |
India |
| KNJS |
James Knight |
South Africa |
| KROL |
Larry Krozel |
USA |
| KUZM |
Mikhail Kuzmin |
Russia |
| LARJ |
Jose Larriba |
Spain |
| LERM |
Michel Lerman |
Canada |
| LEVM |
Monty Leventhal |
Australia |
| LIZT |
Tom Lizak |
USA |
| LUBT |
Thomas Lubbers |
USA |
| MALK |
Kjell Malde |
Norway |
| MANV |
Victor Manero |
Spain |
| MARE |
Enrico Mariani |
Italy |
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| MARJ |
Jose Maranon |
Spain |
| MAV |
Dimitri Matsnev |
Russia |
| MCE |
Etsuiku Mochizuki |
Japan |
| MILJ |
Jay Miller |
USA |
| MMI |
Michael Moeller |
Germany |
| MUDG |
George Mudry |
Canada |
| NYLH |
Heikki Nylander |
Finland |
| OBSO |
IPS Observatory |
Australia |
| OTEG |
George Otero |
Uruguay |
| PARN |
Norman Parker |
USA |
| RAMJ |
James Ramsey |
USA |
| RICE |
E. C. Richardson |
England |
| RITA |
Arthur Ritchie |
USA |
| SCGL |
Gerd Lutz Schott |
Germany |
| SCHG |
Greg Scholl |
USA |
| SDP |
Diane Sharples |
USA |
| SIMC |
Clyde Simpson |
USA |
| STAB |
Brian Gordon-States |
England |
| STEF |
George Stefanopoulos |
Greece |
| STEM |
Gerhard Stemmler |
Germany |
| STQ |
Nick Stoikidis |
Greece |
| SUZM |
Miyoshi Suzuki |
Japan |
| SZAK |
Kryzstoff Szatkowski |
Poland |
| SZUM |
Mieczyslaw Szulc |
Poland |
| TESD |
David Teske |
USA |
| THR |
Raymond Thompson |
Canada |
| TJV |
Javier Temprano |
Spain |
| URBP |
Piotr Urbanski |
Poland |
| VALD |
Daniel del Valle |
Puerto Rico |
| VARG |
Alberto Vargas |
Boliva |
| VELM |
Maria Vela |
Romania |
| VIDD |
Daniel Vidican |
Romania |
| WILW |
William Wilson |
USA |
| WITL |
Len Witkowski |
USA |
| WKW |
William Watts |
USA |
| YESH |
Hulya Yesilyaprak |
Turkey |
| |
|
| SID Observers |
|
| A-05 |
Casper Hossfield |
USA |
| A-09 |
Werner Scharlach |
USA |
| A-29 |
Andy Clerkin |
USA |
| A-50 |
Jerry Winkler |
USA |
| A-52 |
Domenic Toldo |
South Africa |
| A-59 |
Steve Hansen |
USA |
| A-63 |
James Ellerbe |
Spain |
| A-80 |
Peter King |
England |
| A-83 |
Alex Panzer |
USA |
| A-84 |
Walter Moos |
Switzerland |
| A-87 |
Mike Hill |
USA |
| A-93 |
Guglielmo Di Fillipo |
Italy |
| A-95 |
Ted Poulos |
USA |
| A-96 |
Roberto Battaiola |
Italy |
| A-97 |
Jon Wallace |
USA |
| A-98 |
William Anthony |
USA |
| A-99 |
Michael King |
England |
| A-100 |
Paul Campbell |
Canada |
| A-101 |
Giorgio Bressan |
Italy |
| A-102 |
Francois Steyn |
South Africa |
| A-104 |
Doug Welch |
Canada |
| A-105 |
Erik Smith |
Belgium |
| A-107 |
Larissa Observatory |
Greece |
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Editor's Notes
New Editor of SID/GRB Bulletin
Doug Welch (A-104) of McMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario, who has setup the AAVSO's GRB and SID networks has assumed the responsibility for editing a stand-alone version of the SID Supplement that was formerly published along with the Solar Bulletin until Casper Hossfield's death in October. Initially at least, the new bulletin will be published in electronic form on a bi-monthly basis, and it will be able to be accessed via the AAVSO website (see next section). Observers who are interested in the emerging technology of detecting GRBs and other phenomena with SID equipment are encouraged to visit the site (http://sid.physics.mcmaster.com) in order to access the SID/GRB Bulletin, which will be published for the first time in January or February. Thank you, Doug, for being willing to take on this task.
Reorganization of Sunspot and SID Website Pages
By this time, most observers will have received notice that the AAVSO is making an effort to control costs by reducing the need for reproduction and mailing of its various products. Instead, it will rely on its website to make information available for viewing and downloading. Observers who do not have access to the Internet or who want to continue with postal mailings have been asked to indicate that preference by completing and returning an order form to AAVSO headquarters.
During the next three months, information on the solar pages of the website will be reorganized in order to make current products more accessible, to add links to the new SID/GRB Bulletin, etc. The Solar Bulletin, containing the monthly SID/flare analyses conducted by Mike Hill and the sunspot analyses will continue to appear in both *.html and *.pdf (Adobe) versions suitable for downloading. Paper versions of this document will be mailed only to those who specifically request hardcopy.
Michael Hill, SID Analyst
114 Prospect St
Marlborough, MA 01752 USA
noatak@aol.com |
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Sudden Ionospheric Disturbances (SID) Recorded During December 2002
| (Analysis performed by Michael Hill, SID Analyst) |
| Date |
Max |
Imp |
Date |
Max |
Imp |
Date |
Max |
Imp |
| 021201 |
1528 |
1+ |
021219 |
0732 |
1+ |
|
|
|
| 021203 |
0818 |
1 |
021219 |
0820 |
1+ |
|
|
|
| 021206 |
0856 |
1 |
021219 |
0944 |
1 |
|
|
|
| 021208 |
0826 |
1- |
021220 |
0543 |
2 |
|
|
|
| 021210 |
0720 |
1 |
021220 |
0804 |
1 |
|
|
|
| 021210 |
1228 |
1+ |
021220 |
0831 |
2 |
|
|
|
| 021211 |
1408 |
1 |
021220 |
1255 |
1- |
|
|
|
| 021212 |
0817 |
1+ |
021220 |
1318 |
1+ |
|
|
|
| 021212 |
1142 |
2 |
021221 |
0450 |
1- |
|
|
|
| 021212 |
1336 |
1+ |
021224 |
0527 |
2 |
|
|
|
| 021213 |
0835 |
1 |
021225 |
0545 |
1- |
|
|
|
| 021213 |
1333 |
1 |
021225 |
0559 |
1+ |
|
|
|
| 021213 |
1722 |
1+ |
021225 |
1756 |
2 |
|
|
|
| 021215 |
1551 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 021215 |
1804 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 021216 |
1116 |
2+ |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 021217 |
0506 |
1+ |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 021217 |
0555 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 021218 |
0637 |
2+ |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 021218 |
0643 |
2+ |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 021218 |
1148 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 021219 |
0522 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 021219 |
0555 |
1+ |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 021219 |
0602 |
2+ |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 021219 |
0655 |
1+ |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Importance rating: Duration | -1: <19 | 1: 19-25 | 1+: 26-32 | 2: 33-45 | 2+: 46-85 | 3: 86-125 | 3+: >125 |
| Observer |
Code |
Station(s) monitored |
| A Clerkin |
A29 |
NAA |
| D Toldo |
A52 |
NAA NWC |
| S Hansen |
A59 |
CFH NAA |
| Alex Panzer |
A83 |
NAA |
| W Moos |
A84 |
FTA |
| M Hill |
A87 |
NAA |
| G DiFillipo |
A93 |
HWU |
| T Poulos |
A95 |
NAA |
| R Battaiola |
A96 |
HWU |
| J Wallace |
A97 |
NAA |
| M King |
A99 |
HWU |
| P Campbell |
A100 |
NLK |
| F Steyn |
A102 |
NAA NWC |
| L Observatory |
A107 |
DHO |
|
| The events listed above meet at least one of the following criteria |
- Event reported by two or more observers within +/- 5 minutes
- Event matched to GOES-8 XRA event to within +/- 15 minutes and event time < 1000 UT
- Reported by observer with a high quality rating > 8 (scale 1-10)
|
|
December was another slow month for flare activity although the midde of the month saw a significant increase in activity. The busiest time was from the 15th to the 20th. There were 188 X-Ray flare events recorded by the GOES-8 spacecraft. Of these only 8 were M-Class events and there were no X-Class events. Most observers had very few recorded SID events so can therefore confirm the fact that the activity level was indeed very low. There were a total of 39 Correlated events reported by observers. Most of them had an importance rating of 1 or 1+. There were four 2+ events, understandably during the high activity time during the middle of the month.
|