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Solar Bulletin, February 2003
Solar Bulletin |
| THE AMERICAN ASSOCIATION OF VARIABLE STAR OBSERVERS - SOLAR DIVISION |
Carl E. Feehrer, Editor
9 Gleason Rd.
Bedford, MA 01730 | Email: cfeehrer@hotmail.com
ISSN 0271-8480 |
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| Volume 59 Number 2 | February 2003 |
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Table I. Mean Sunspot Numbers for February 2003 [boldface = maximum, minimum] | Table II. February Observers |
| Day |
N |
Raw |
s.d. |
Ra |
s.d. |
s.e. |
| 1 |
30 |
60 |
2.3 |
44 |
1.4 |
0.26 |
| 2 |
33 |
65 |
3.7 |
45 |
1.4 |
0.24 |
| 3 |
31 |
57 |
3.8 |
41 |
1.8 |
0.32 |
| 4 |
33 |
61 |
4.0 |
44 |
2.2 |
0.38 |
| 5 |
32 |
83 |
4.6 |
60 |
2.5 |
0.44 |
| 6 |
32 |
102 |
5.0 |
79 |
2.6 |
0.46 |
| 7 |
30 |
117 |
8.0 |
86 |
2.7 |
0.49 |
| 8 |
35 |
128 |
7.5 |
92 |
3.5 |
0.59 |
| 9 |
35 |
135 |
8.3 |
101 |
3.9 |
0.66 |
| 10 |
29 |
113 |
5.3 |
84 |
2.8 |
0.52 |
| 11 |
27 |
109 |
6.1 |
83 |
2.4 |
0.46 |
| 12 |
33 |
107 |
5.0 |
79 |
2.6 |
0.45 |
| 13 |
25 |
89 |
5.8 |
65 |
2.5 |
0.50 |
| 14 |
30 |
66 |
4.0 |
50 |
2.0 |
0.37 37 |
| 15 |
29 |
31 |
4.4 |
22 |
2.2 |
0.41 |
| 16 |
31 |
29 |
2.8 |
20 |
1.7 |
0.31 |
| 17 |
30 |
18 |
1.7 |
12 |
1.3 |
0.24 |
| 18 |
21 |
39 |
3.3 |
31 |
2.8 |
0.61 |
| 19 |
23 |
50 |
2.7 |
39 |
2.0 |
0.42 |
| 20 |
28 |
71 |
3.7 |
54 |
2.1 |
0.40 |
| 21 |
24 |
67 |
4.4 |
49 |
2.2 |
0.45 |
| 22 |
22 |
50 |
3.8 |
38 |
2.2 |
0.47 |
| 23 |
29 |
43 |
2.4 |
33 |
1.6 |
0.30 |
| 24 |
25 |
45 |
3.1 |
33 |
2.1 |
0.42 |
| 25 |
30 |
47 |
1.8 |
35 |
1.2 |
0.22 |
| 26 |
32 |
47 |
3.9 |
35 |
2.0 |
0.35 |
| 27 |
37 |
58 |
2.4 |
43 |
1.7 |
0.28 |
| 28 |
25 |
53 |
3.8 |
38 |
1.4 |
0.28 |
| 29 |
--- |
--- |
--- |
--- |
--- |
--- |
| 30 |
--- |
--- |
--- |
--- |
--- |
--- |
| 31 |
--- |
--- |
--- |
--- |
--- |
--- |
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Means: | 29.3 | 69.2 | | 51.3 | | |
No. of Observations: 821
No. of Observers: 67
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Reporting Addresses |
Sunspot Reports -- email: solar@aavso.org
- postal mail: AAVSO, 25 Birch St. Cambridge, MA 02138
- FAX (AAVSO): (617) 354-0665
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SID Solar Flare Reports -- email: noatak@aol.com
- postal mail: Mike Hill
114 Prospect St. Marlboro, MA 01752
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|
| 8 |
AAP |
P.Abbott |
| 16 |
ARAG |
G.Araujo |
| 13 |
ATON |
A.Attanasio |
| 9 |
BARH |
H.Barnes |
| 6 |
BATR |
R.Battaiola |
| 6 |
BERJ |
J.Berdejo |
| 17 |
BMF |
M.Boschat |
| 18 |
BOSB |
B.Bose |
| 9 |
BRAD |
D.Branchett |
| 8 |
BRAR |
R.Branch |
| 21 |
BROB |
R.Brown |
| 28 |
CHAG |
G.Morales |
| 9 |
CKB |
B.Cudnik |
| 4 |
CLZ |
C.Laurent |
| 1 |
COMT |
T.Compton |
| 28 |
CORA |
A.Coroas |
| 25 |
CR |
T.Cragg |
| 2 |
CVJ |
J.Carvajal |
| 8 |
DELS |
S.Delaney |
| 1 |
DEMF |
F.Dempsey |
| 10 |
DGP |
G.Dyck |
| 13 |
DRAJ |
J.Dragesco |
| 19 |
ELR |
E.Reed |
| 10 |
FEEC |
C.Feehrer |
| 9 |
FERJ |
J.Fernandes |
| 14 |
FLET |
T.Fleming |
| 20 |
FUJK |
K.Fujimori |
| 14 |
GIOR |
R.Giovanoni |
| 10 |
GOEM |
M.Goetz |
| 10 |
GOTS |
S.Gottschalk |
| 8 |
HAYK |
K.Hay |
| 18 |
JAMD |
D.James |
| 19 |
JEFT |
T.Jeffrey |
| 18 |
KAPJ |
J.Kaplan |
| 17 |
KHAR |
R.Khan |
| 18 |
KNJS |
J&S Knight |
| 6 |
KROL |
L.Krozel |
| 6 |
LARJ |
J.Larriba |
| 2 |
LERM |
M.Lerman |
| 15 |
LEVM |
M.Leventhal |
| 16 |
MALK |
K.Malde |
| 5 |
MARE |
E.Mariani |
| 23 |
MARJ |
J.Maranon |
| 20 |
MCE |
E.Mochizuki |
| 19 |
MMI |
M.Moeller |
| 1 |
MUDG |
G.Mudry |
| 17 |
RICE |
E.Richardson |
| 12 |
RITA |
A.Ritchie |
| 21 |
SCGL |
G.Schott |
| 5 |
SIMC |
C.Simpson |
| 10 |
STAB |
B.Gordon-States |
| 2 |
STEF |
G.Stefanopoulis |
| 21 |
STEM |
G.Stemmler |
| 11 |
STQ |
N.Stoikidis |
| 24 |
SUZM |
M.Suzuki |
| 17 |
SZAK |
K.Szatkowski |
| 15 |
SZUM |
M.Szulc |
| 8 |
TESD |
D.Teske |
| 15 |
THR |
R.Thompson |
| 7 |
TJV |
J.Temprano |
| 17 |
URBP |
P.Urbanski |
| 5 |
VALD |
D.del Valle |
| 16 |
VARG |
A.Vargas |
| 6 |
VELM |
M.Velea |
| 1 |
VIDD |
D.Vidican |
| 5 |
WILW |
W.Wilson |
| 9 |
YESH |
H.Yesilyaprak |
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| Table III. Means of Raw Group Counts (RG) and Ratios of Spots to Groups (S:G) in February 2003 |
| Day |
RG |
S:G |
Day |
RG |
S:G |
Day |
RG |
S:G |
Day |
RG |
S:G |
| 1 |
4.7 |
2.8 |
9 |
9.4 |
4.4 |
17 |
1.3 |
3.9 |
25 |
3.2 |
4.7 |
| 2 |
4.2 |
5.5 |
10 |
7.8 |
4.5 |
18 |
2.9 |
3.5 |
26 |
3.6 |
3.1 |
| 3 |
2.8 |
10.4 |
11 |
7.8 |
4.0 |
19 |
3.3 |
5.2 |
27 |
4.4 |
3.2 |
| 4 |
3.3 |
8.5 |
12 |
7.9 |
3.5 |
20 |
4.2 |
6.9 |
28 |
3.8 |
4.0 |
| 5 |
5.2 |
6.0 |
13 |
6.9 |
2.9 |
21 |
3.6 |
8.6 |
29 |
--- |
--- |
| 6 |
6.3 |
6.2 |
14 |
5.1 |
2.9 |
22 |
2.9 |
7.2 |
30 |
--- |
--- |
| 7 |
7.7 |
5.2 |
15 |
2.2 |
4.1 |
23 |
2.4 |
7.9 |
31 |
--- |
--- |
| 8 |
9.0 |
4.2 |
16 |
2.3 |
2.6 |
24 |
2.4 |
8.8 |
Mn. |
4.7 |
5.2 |
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Click image to enlarge. Fig.1. 10 cm Solar Flux and Comparison of Ri (provisional) and Ra Estimates for February 2003 (r=0.986).
(Ri Source: http://sidc..oma.be/index.php3)
(10cm Source: http://www.drao.nrc.ca/icarus) |
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Click image to enlarge. Fig.2 Maximum, Mean, and Minimum Ra Values for Each Month from January 2001 to Present. |
Michael Hill, SID Analyst
114 Prospect St
Marlborough, MA 01752 USA
noatak@aol.com |
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Sudden Ionospheric Disturbances (SID) Recorded During February 2003
| (Analysis performed by Michael Hill, SID Analyst) |
| Date |
Max |
Imp |
Date |
Max |
Imp |
Date |
Max |
Imp |
| 030201 |
0614 |
1+ |
030222 |
0930 |
1+ |
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| 030201 |
0744 |
1- |
030228 |
0630 |
1 |
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| 030201 |
0904 |
2+ |
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| 030202 |
0543 |
1- |
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| 030202 |
0637 |
1- |
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| 030202 |
0908 |
1+ |
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| 030203 |
0458 |
1- |
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| 030206 |
0348 |
3 |
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| 030211 |
1730 |
1 |
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| 030212 |
0544 |
2 |
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| 030212 |
1611 |
1 |
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| 030214 |
0211 |
2+ |
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| 030214 |
0526 |
1+ |
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| 030214 |
0636 |
1 |
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| 030214 |
0911 |
2+ |
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| 030214 |
0918 |
1+ |
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| 030215 |
0758 |
3 |
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| 030215 |
0847 |
3 |
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| 030221 |
0508 |
1 |
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| 030221 |
0611 |
2 |
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| 030221 |
0715 |
1+ |
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| 030221 |
1439 |
1+ |
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| 030221 |
1514 |
1- |
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| 030221 |
1725 |
2+ |
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| 030222 |
0511 |
1+ |
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| Importance rating: Duration | -1: <19 | 1: 19-25 | 1+: 26-32 | 2: 33-45 | 2+: 46-85 | 3: 86-125 | 3+: >125 |
| Observer |
Code |
Station(s) monitored |
| A Clerkin |
A29 |
NAA |
| J Winkler |
A50 |
NAA NPR |
| D Toldo |
A52 |
NWC |
| A Panzer |
A83 |
NAA |
| W Moos |
A84 |
FTA |
| M Hill |
A87 |
NAA |
| G DiFillipo |
A93 |
DHO HWU |
| R Battiola |
A96 |
HWU |
| J Wallace |
A97 |
NAA |
| M King |
A99 |
HWU |
| F Steyn |
A102 |
NAA NWC |
| B Bose |
A103 |
VTX3 |
| L Observatory |
A107 |
DHO38 |
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| The events listed above meet at least one of the following criteria |
- Event reported by two or more observers within +/- 5 minutes
- Event matched to GOES-8 XRA event to within +/- 15 minutes and event time < 1000 UT
- Reported by observer with a high quality rating > 8 (scale 1-10)
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February was another slow month for SID detection. I got many reports with an apology for not having so many events to report as usual. Of course I know you all weren't really apologizing out of guilt but more from frustration that the results were on the meager side. The event counts submitted remind me of the AAVSO Variable star submissions list that is published once a year in the journal. Some observers have submitted many many observations over the course of the year. Others have submitted only 10 or 15, or less for some. All the observations, however, become part of the big picture and so all of them, either 10 or 1000, are just as valuable. And so it is for your observations. Even if your report contains only 2 SID events for the month, they are just as important as 20 or more that someone else has detected. Just as important . . .
There were 174 X-Ray flares detected by the GOES-8 Satellite this month. Of those only three were M-Class. The rest were lower C or B Class events. This is certainly one of the lowest counts I have seen since I have been counting. Not suprisingly, in response to these lower levels of activity, there were only 27 correlated SID events reported for the month. There were a couple of long duration events with an importance rating of 3, but most of these had a lower importance rating in the 1 to 1+ range.
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