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Solar Bulletin, July 2004

Solar Bulletin

THE AMERICAN ASSOCIATION OF VARIABLE STAR OBSERVERS - SOLAR COMMITTEE
Carl E. Feehrer, Editor
9 Gleason Rd.
Bedford, MA 01730
Email: cfeehrer@hotmail.com

ISSN 0271-8480

Volume 60 Number 7July 2004

Table I. Mean Sunspot Numbers for July 2004
[boldface = maximum, minimum]
Table II. July Observers
Day N Raw Mean Ra
1 40 25 19
2 41 30 22
3 43 31 23
4 36 26 18
5 33 20 14
6 40 24 16
7 39 15 11
8 34 23 16
9 44 39 28
10 46 63 46
11 38 75 53
12 33 100 74
13 39 132 96
14 35 131 95
15 40 117 81
16 40 104 73
17 41 120 88
18 42 135 99
19 39 149 106
20 45 143 103
21 37 132 93
22 43 126 91
23 38 121 85
24 36 113 80
25 39 96 68
26 31 93 66
27 36 80 56
28 44 47 33
29 39 33 24
30 40 35 26
31 40 36 26
Means:39.177.855.9
No. of Observers: 65
No. of Observations: 1211

Reporting Addresses

Sunspot Reports -- email: solar@aavso.org

postal mail: AAVSO, 25 Birch St. Cambridge, MA 02138
FAX (AAVSO): (617) 354-0665

SID Solar Flare Reports -- email: noatak@aol.com

postal mail: Mike Hill 114 Prospect St. Marlboro, MA 01752
10 AAP P.Abbott
31 ARAG G.Araujo
16 BARH H.Barnes
10 BATR R.Battaiola
22 BEB R.Berg
15 BERJ J.Berdejo
2 BLAJ J.Blackwell
14 BMF M.Boschat
17 BOSB B.Bose
31 BRAB B.Branchett
19 BRAD D.Branchett
27 BRAR R.Branch
27 BROB R.Brown
4 CAMP P.Cambell
13 CARJ J.Carlson
30 CHAG G.Morales
30 CKB B.Cudnik
13 CLZ C.Laurent
23 COMT T.Compton
21 DEJV J.van Delft
14 DELS S.Delaney
15 DGP G.Dyck
15 DPP P.dePonthiere
27 DRAJ J.Dragesco
28 DUBF F.Dubois
14 FEEC C.Feehrer
21 FERJ J.Fernandes
25 FLET T.Fleming
25 FUJK K.Fujimori
11 GOEM M.Goetz
10 HALB B.Halls
8 HAYK K.Hay
19 HRUT T.Hrutkay
21 JAMD D.James
19 KAPJ J.Kaplan
27 KNJS J&S Knight
1 KROL L.Krozel
4 KUZM M.Kuzmin
5 LARJ J.Larriba
7 LERM M.Lerman
20 LEVM M.Leventhal
21 MARE E.Mariani
31 MARJ J.Maranon
16 MAV D.Matsnev
31 MCE E.Mochizuki
28 MMI M.Moeller
11 OBSO IPS Observatory
14 RICE E.Richardson
10 RITA A.Ritchie
12 SIMC C.Simpson
12 STEF G.Stefanopoulis
24 STEM G.Stemmler
28 STQ N.Stoikidis
29 SUZM M.Suzuki
28 SZAK K.Szatkowski
23 SZUM M.Szulc
31 TESD D.Teske
4 THR R.Thompson
17 TJV J.Temprano
20 URBP P.Urbanski
5 VALD D.Del Valle
13 VARG A.Vargas
12 VIDD D.Vidican
22 WILW W.Wilson
31 YESH H.Yesilyaprak

Table III. Means of Raw Group Counts (RG) and Ratios of Spots to Groups (S:G) in July 2004
Day RG S:G Day RG S:G Day RG S:G Day RG S:G
1 2.0 2.8 9 2.5 6.0 17 6.0 10.1 25 2.9 22.8
2 2.1 4.6 10 3.8 6.6 18 6.2 12.0 26 3.1 19.9
3 2.1 4.8 11 4.4 7.0 19 6.0 14.9 27 3.0 16.8
4 1.8 4.6 12 5.6 7.8 20 5.0 18.5 28 2.4 9.4
5 1.6 2.7 13 6.6 10.0 21 4.4 20.1 29 2.1 5.6
6 1.9 2.3 14 6.4 10.5 22 3.7 23.7 30 2.1 6.7
7 1.2 2.5 15 5.9 9.8 23 3.2 28.2 31 2.2 6.3
8 1.5 5.0 16 5.3 9.7 24 3.0 27.6 Mn. 3.5 10.9

Figure 1
Click image to enlarge.
Fig. 1. 10 cm Solar Flux and American Relative Sunspot Numbers (Ra) for July 2004
(10cm Source: http://www.drao.nrc.ca/icarus)

Figure 2
Click image to enlarge.
Fig.2 Smoothed Mean Sunspot Numbers (Waldmeier method) from January 2000 to January 2004.

Summary of AAVSO Solar Committee Activity for the Period October 2003 to June 2004
[Summary read at AAVSO Spring meeting, Oakland, CA, July 2004]

Chair and Sunspot Observing Group Leader: Carl E. Feehrer
Solar Flare/SID Observing Group Leader: Mike Hill

Despite the progressive decline in the Sun's activity as the minimum is approached, loyal contributors to the work of the Committee continue to make large numbers of sunspot and SID observations. During the period, 85 different observers filed sunspot reports and 20 observers filed SID reports. We hope that the high levels of interest in solar reporting that have been demonstrated by observers will continue as solar activity levels continue to decline.

Sunspot Reports
Five hundred ninety-three sunspot reports containing a total of 8,686 observations were received and processed. The reports were received from an average of 66 observers per month. As of June 2004, the group of active observers numbered 77. The totals are somewhat larger than for the equivalent period last year, owing to a small increase in the size of the reporting group.

SID Reports
For the last 9 months, SID activity has kept observers busy even though the sun is approaching the end of cycle 23. Over the past 9 months there have been a total of 183 SID reports submitted by the group of 20 active observers. The number of observers in the SID group has also grown beyond that of the earlier period.

Special Recognition of Observers
Several observers have met reporting thresholds established in the sunspot and SID programs for certificates of achievement. These observers and others who may meet the criteria in the meantime will be cited at the Fall 2004 meeting in Cambridge, Massachusetts.

Website Activity
The numbers of images contributed to the AAVSO/Solar website has decreased in recent months, owing at least in part to the diminution of solar activity. Downloads of the Solar Bulletin and related data continue at a high level, and increasingly, the SolObs program available on the website is used in place of the older Sunkey program and hardcopy to report and transmit monthly sunspot data.

Software Development
Software required for the analysis of sunspot reports in a Windows XP environment has been completed by AAVSO member Lenny Abbey. This software replaces programs written some years ago for an MS-DOS environment, and it provides new tools for identification of non-conforming data formats and other report deficiences that complicate the monthly task of preparing observations for analysis.

Acknowledgements
As always, the successful performance of the Solar Committee is due to the dedication and hard work of our international cadre of observers, the AAVSO's staff, and Arthur Ritchie, a volunteer who assists in the preparation of the monthly sunspot data. Many thanks go to all those who submit reports and aid in the preparation of Solar Committee products.


Michael Hill, SID Analyst
114 Prospect St
Marlborough, MA 01752 USA
noatak@aol.com

Sudden Ionospheric Disturbances (SID) Recorded During July 2004

(Analysis performed by Michael Hill, SID Analyst)
Date Max Imp Date Max Imp Date Max Imp
040711 0749 2+ 040714 1817 1+ 040717 1652 2
040711 0945 1+ 040714 1956 1- 040717 1828 1
040711 1335 2 040714 2051 1- 040717 1917 1+
040711 1658 1 040715 0141 2 040717 2046 1-
040711 1734 2 040715 0951 2+ 040717 2103 1+
040711 1950 2 040715 1823 1+ 040717 2132 1+
040711 2113 2 040715 1831 2+ 040717 2303 1+
040712 0110 1 040715 2141 1- 040718 0012 1
040712 0803 3+ 040715 2232 2+ 040718 0036 2+
040712 1604 2 040716 0205 2 040718 0256 1+
040712 1844 2+ 040716 1009 2+ 040718 1035 1+
040712 2020 2+ 040716 1041 2 040718 1151 1+
040712 2127 1+ 040716 1226 2 040718 1232 1+
040712 2151 2 040716 1256 1 040718 1349 1+
040713 0016 2 040716 1338 1 040718 1415 2
040713 0846 2 040716 1355 2+ 040718 1648 1-
040713 1206 2 040716 1628 2 040718 1713 2
040713 1840 2 040716 2041 2+ 040718 1849 1-
040713 1932 2 040717 0758 2 040719 2101 1
040713 2122 1 040717 0903 1+ 040720 0106 1-
040713 2208 1- 040717 0945 1+ 040720 1018 1-
040713 2227 2 040717 0957 2 040720 1112 1-
040714 0520 2 040717 1138 2 040720 1128 1+
040714 1746 1 040717 1257 2 040720 1229 2
040714 1759 1- 040717 1557 1 See On-Line database for remainder


Importance rating: Duration -1: <191: 19-251+: 26-322: 33-452+: 46-853: 86-1253+: >125

Observer Code Station(s) monitored
A Clerkin A29 NAA
J Winkler A50 NAA NML NPM
D Toldo A52 NAA xxx
J Ellerbe A63 ICV
W Moos A84 FTA
M Hill A87 NAA
J Mandaville A90 NPM
G DiFillipo A93 DHO HWU
T Poulos A95 NAA
J Wallace A97 NAA
M King A99 HWU
P Campbell A100 NLK
B Bose A103 VTX
E Smith A105 DHO
L Observatory A107 DHO
A Son A112 DHO
The events listed above meet at least one of the following criteria
  1. Event reported by two or more observers within +/- 5 minutes
  2. Event matched to GOES-8 XRA event to within +/- 15 minutes and event time < 1000 UT
  3. Reported by observer with a high quality rating > 8 (scale 1-10)

SID ratings

Solar Events

July was certainly the most active month we have had in a long time. Very uncharacteristic for this time in the solar cycle. There were 120 correlated SID events this month! A very large number. So large in fact that I decided not to post them all in the bulletin due to space constraints. The full listing will be available at the SID web page. The GOES Satellite recorded 226 X-Ray flares. Of these, 32 were M-Class events and 6 were X-Class events. These are the highest number of large class flares that I can remember even in times of high activity. I hope you all had fun watching these events unfold. I'm sure you visual observers had quite a time counting spots this month. As can be seen below the month started out pretty slow but really picked up around the 11th and continued on that way for most of the month.

Now for some more mundane business. I have been getting a number of observers sending data in the wrong format and I just want to remind you all that the format required by the the AAVSO SID program, myself, and the software I use to process it is not optional. There are guidelines that have been clearly specified in the past, are still listed on the AAVSO SID website and that I have reiterated to some of you a number of times. You all must follow the prescribed format otherwise I will not process your data. The data must be an ASCII text file with the correct format as far as content. You should send this to me as a file attachment not as embedded text in the email you send. In addition the file must be named according to your observer ID and the station you monitor such as A87NAA..dat or A87NAA.txt. Please don't add extra information into the filename. Lastly, do try to get the data to me sooner than the deadline. Although you have until the 10th of the month to send in your data, it would be greatly appreciated if you sent it in by the 5th. Occasional lapses in this request are acceptable as I realize you may have other things going on that prevent you from getting to your data processing right away at the end of the month. Ok, enough said there. Thanks to all of you for sending in your data. As always all contributions, whether a single event or many events, are important.

Solar Flare Summary
 
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