|
|
|
|
Solar Bulletin, March 2003
Solar Bulletin |
| THE AMERICAN ASSOCIATION OF VARIABLE STAR OBSERVERS - SOLAR COMMITTEE |
Carl E. Feehrer, Editor
9 Gleason Rd.
Bedford, MA 01730 | Email: cfeehrer@hotmail.com
ISSN 0271-8480 |
|
| Volume 59 Number 3 | March 2003 |
|
Table I. Mean Sunspot Numbers for March 2003 [boldface = maximum, minimum] | Table II. March Observers |
| Day |
N |
Raw |
s.d. |
Ra |
s.d. |
s.e. |
| 1 |
29 |
68 |
2.5 |
53 |
2.0 |
0.37 |
| 2 |
31 |
83 |
4.7 |
63 |
3.3 |
0.59 |
| 3 |
30 |
87 |
5.7 |
64 |
2.7 |
0.49 |
| 4 |
25 |
114 |
9.0 |
77 |
3.7 |
0.74 |
| 5 |
29 |
108 |
8.6 |
73 |
3.8 |
0.71 |
| 6 |
34 |
89 |
5.9 |
66 |
2.7 |
0.46 |
| 7 |
35 |
110 |
7.9 |
80 |
3.6 |
0.61 |
| 8 |
43 |
106 |
5.7 |
77 |
3.0 |
0.46 |
| 9 |
43 |
125 |
6.5 |
91 |
2.9 |
0.44 |
| 10 |
41 |
110 |
6.0 |
78 |
2.5 |
0.39 |
| 11 |
32 |
110 |
5.2 |
74 |
1.8 |
0.32 |
| 12 |
37 |
83 |
4.3 |
59 |
2.3 |
0.38 |
| 13 |
37 |
76 |
4.0 |
56 |
2.2 |
0.36 |
| 14 |
46 |
93 |
4.1 |
68 |
2.0 |
0.29 |
| 15 |
45 |
99 |
3.5 |
75 |
2.0 |
0.30 |
| 16 |
53 |
85 |
3.2 |
62 |
1.5 |
0.21 |
| 17 |
44 |
61 |
2.6 |
46 |
1.7 |
0.26 |
| 18 |
39 |
61 |
2.8 |
46 |
1.3 |
0.21 |
| 19 |
51 |
55 |
2.3 |
41 |
1.2 |
0.17 |
| 20 |
35 |
47 |
2.3 |
32 |
1.2 |
0.20 |
| 21 |
38 |
23 |
2.7 |
16 |
1.7 |
0.28 |
| 22 |
44 |
18 |
1.5 |
14 |
1.0 |
0.15 |
| 23 |
51 |
35 |
1.7 |
25 |
1.0 |
0.14 |
| 24 |
57 |
53 |
2.0 |
40 |
1.5 |
0.20 |
| 25 |
41 |
71 |
3.9 |
52 |
2.0 |
0.31 |
| 26 |
45 |
102 |
4.8 |
71 |
2.2 |
0.33 |
| 27 |
46 |
124 |
5.8 |
88 |
2.4 |
0.35 |
| 28 |
38 |
144 |
5.8 |
105 |
3.5 |
0.57 |
| 29 |
37 |
177 |
8.0 |
124 |
3.2 |
0.53 |
| 30 |
40 |
168 |
5.8 |
124 |
2.5 |
0.40 |
| 31 |
40 |
151 |
5.3 |
108 |
2.5 |
0.40 |
|
Means: | 39.9 | 91.4 | | 66.1 | | |
No. of Observations: 1236
No. of Observers: 76
|
|
Reporting Addresses |
Sunspot Reports -- email: solar@aavso.org
- postal mail: AAVSO, 25 Birch St. Cambridge, MA 02138
- FAX (AAVSO): (617) 354-0665
| |
SID Solar Flare Reports -- email: noatak@aol.com
- postal mail: Mike Hill
114 Prospect St. Marlboro, MA 01752
|
|
| 15 |
AAP |
P.Abbott |
| 21 |
ARAG |
G.Araujo |
| 17 |
ATON |
A.Attanasio |
| 8 |
BARH |
H.Barnes |
| 6 |
BATR |
R.Battaiola |
| 14 |
BERJ |
J.Berdejo |
| 12 |
BOJP |
P.Bojda |
| 26 |
BOSB |
B.Bose |
| 21 |
BRAB |
B.Branchett |
| 19 |
BRAR |
R.Branch |
| 26 |
BROB |
R.Brown |
| 2 |
CAMP |
P.Campbell |
| 13 |
CARJ |
J.Carlson |
| 27 |
CHAG |
G.Morales |
| 18 |
CKB |
B.Cudnik |
| 13 |
CLZ |
C.Laurent |
| 7 |
COMT |
T.Compton |
| 31 |
CORA |
A.Coroas |
| 30 |
CR |
T.Cragg |
| 3 |
CVJ |
J.Carvajal |
| 14 |
DELS |
S.Delaney |
| 8 |
DEMF |
F.Dempsey |
| 17 |
DGP |
G.Dyck |
| 20 |
DRAJ |
J.Dragesco |
| 22 |
DUBF |
F.Dubois |
| 28 |
ELR |
E.Reed |
| 13 |
FEEC |
C.Feehrer |
| 25 |
FERJ |
J.Fernandes |
| 24 |
FLET |
T.Fleming |
| 22 |
FUJK |
K.Fujimori |
| 23 |
GIOR |
R.Giovanoni |
| 21 |
GOEM |
M.Goetz |
| 11 |
GOTS |
S.Gottschalk |
| 7 |
HALB |
B.Halls |
| 7 |
HAYK |
K.Hay |
| 8 |
HRUT |
T.Hrutkay |
| 22 |
JAMD |
D.James |
| 19 |
JEFT |
T.Jeffrey |
| 13 |
JENJ |
J.Jenkins |
| 4 |
JENS |
S.Jenner |
| 20 |
KAPJ |
J.Kaplan |
| 24 |
KHAR |
R.Khan |
| 26 |
KNJS |
J&S Knight |
| 5 |
KROL |
L.Krozel |
| 6 |
LARJ |
J.Larriba |
| 4 |
LERM |
M.Lerman |
| 19 |
LEVM |
M.Leventhal |
| 5 |
LUBT |
T.Lubbers |
| 16 |
MALK |
K.Malde |
| 8 |
MARE |
E.Mariani |
| 28 |
MARJ |
J.Maranon |
| 21 |
MCE |
E.Mochizuki |
| 10 |
MILJ |
J.Miller |
| 25 |
MMI |
M.Moeller |
| 17 |
OBSO |
IPS Observatory |
| 17 |
RICE |
E.Richardson |
| 19 |
RITA |
A.Ritchie |
| 22 |
SCGL |
G.Schott |
| 6 |
SCHG |
G.Scholl |
| 3 |
SDP |
D.Sharples |
| 12 |
SIMC |
C.Simpson |
| 25 |
STAB |
B.Gordon-States |
| 3 |
STEF |
G.Stefanopoulis |
| 20 |
STEM |
G.Stemmler |
| 19 |
STQ |
N.Stoikidis |
| 25 |
SUZM |
M.Suzuki |
| 28 |
SZAK |
K.Szatkowski |
| 18 |
SZUM |
M.Szulc |
| 15 |
TESD |
D.Teske |
| 16 |
THR |
R.Thompson |
| 11 |
TJV |
J.Temprano |
| 24 |
URBP |
P.Urbanski |
| 13 |
VARG |
A.Vargas |
| 13 |
VELM |
M.Velea |
| 15 |
WILW |
W.Wilson |
| 21 |
YESH |
H.Yesilyaprak |
|
|
| Table III. Means of Raw Group Counts (RG) and Ratios of Spots to Groups (S:G) in March 2003 |
| Day |
RG |
S:G |
Day |
RG |
S:G |
Day |
RG |
S:G |
Day |
RG |
S:G |
| 1 |
4.9 |
3.9 |
9 |
8.4 |
4.9 |
17 |
3.2 |
9.1 |
25 |
4.9 |
4.5 |
| 2 |
5.8 |
4.3 |
10 |
7.4 |
4.9 |
18 |
3.4 |
7.9 |
26 |
5.6 |
8.2 |
| 3 |
6.0 |
4.5 |
11 |
7.0 |
5.7 |
19 |
3.1 |
7.7 |
27 |
6.2 |
10.0 |
| 4 |
7.0 |
6.3 |
12 |
5.3 |
5.7 |
20 |
3.2 |
4.7 |
28 |
7.7 |
8.7 |
| 5 |
6.4 |
6.9 |
13 |
4.6 |
6.5 |
21 |
1.8 |
2.8 |
29 |
8.3 |
11.3 |
| 6 |
5.6 |
5.9 |
14 |
5.2 |
7.9 |
22 |
1.5 |
2.0 |
30 |
9.0 |
8.7 |
| 7 |
7.0 |
5.7 |
15 |
5.7 |
7.4 |
23 |
2.5 |
4.0 |
31 |
8.3 |
8.2 |
| 8 |
6.8 |
5.6 |
16 |
4.4 |
9.3 |
24 |
3.7 |
4.3 |
Mn. |
5.5 |
6.4 |
 |
Click image to enlarge. Fig.1. 10 cm Solar Flux and Comparison of Ri (provisional) and Ra Estimates for March 2003 (r=0.982).
(Ri Source: http://sidc..oma.be/index.php3)
(10cm Source: http://www.drao.nrc.ca/icarus) |
 |
Click image to enlarge. Fig.2 Maximum, Mean, and Minimum Ra Values for Each Month from January 2001 to Present. |
Michael Hill, SID Analyst
114 Prospect St
Marlborough, MA 01752 USA
noatak@aol.com |
 |
Sudden Ionospheric Disturbances (SID) Recorded During March 2003
| (Analysis performed by Michael Hill, SID Analyst) |
| Date |
Max |
Imp |
Date |
Max |
Imp |
Date |
Max |
Imp |
| 030301 |
0843 |
2 |
030318 |
1610 |
1- |
030327 |
0947 |
1+ |
| 030301 |
1333 |
1- |
030318 |
1620 |
1 |
030327 |
1456 |
1 |
| 030301 |
1422 |
1- |
030318 |
1905 |
2 |
030327 |
1947 |
1+ |
| 030301 |
1433 |
1+ |
030319 |
0306 |
2 |
030329 |
1018 |
1+ |
| 030301 |
1542 |
1- |
030319 |
0645 |
2 |
030329 |
1023 |
1 |
| 030301 |
1720 |
1 |
030319 |
0955 |
1+ |
030329 |
1231 |
1 |
| 030301 |
1909 |
1- |
030319 |
1132 |
1+ |
030329 |
1307 |
1- |
| 030305 |
1336 |
1- |
030319 |
1334 |
1+ |
030329 |
1412 |
2 |
| 030308 |
0936 |
2 |
030319 |
1613 |
1- |
030329 |
1516 |
1+ |
| 030309 |
0648 |
1+ |
030319 |
1648 |
1+ |
030329 |
1522 |
2+ |
| 030309 |
1755 |
1 |
030319 |
1710 |
1- |
030329 |
1701 |
1 |
| 030315 |
1337 |
1+ |
030319 |
1823 |
1 |
030329 |
1840 |
2 |
| 030315 |
1530 |
1+ |
030319 |
1854 |
2 |
030330 |
0128 |
1 |
| 030315 |
2010 |
2 |
030319 |
2130 |
1- |
|
|
|
| 030315 |
2020 |
2+ |
030319 |
2202 |
1 |
|
|
|
| 030316 |
1131 |
1- |
030320 |
1135 |
1+ |
|
|
|
| 030316 |
1429 |
1+ |
030320 |
1736 |
3 |
|
|
|
| 030318 |
0000 |
3+ |
030321 |
0910 |
1- |
|
|
|
| 030318 |
0600 |
2 |
030321 |
1429 |
1 |
|
|
|
| 030318 |
0744 |
2+ |
030322 |
0658 |
2 |
|
|
|
| 030318 |
1024 |
1+ |
030322 |
0858 |
1- |
|
|
|
| 030318 |
1158 |
3 |
030322 |
0951 |
1- |
|
|
|
| 030318 |
1206 |
2+ |
030326 |
1711 |
1 |
|
|
|
| 030318 |
1214 |
2+ |
030327 |
0539 |
2+ |
|
|
|
| 030318 |
1414 |
1 |
030327 |
0704 |
1+ |
|
|
|
| Importance rating: Duration | -1: <19 | 1: 19-25 | 1+: 26-32 | 2: 33-45 | 2+: 46-85 | 3: 86-125 | 3+: >125 |
| Observer |
Code |
Station(s) monitored |
| A Clerkin |
A29 |
NAA |
| J Winkler |
A50 |
NAA NPR |
| D Toldo |
A52 |
NAA NWC XXX |
| J Ellerbe |
A63 |
ICV |
| A Panzer |
A83 |
NAA |
| W Moos |
A84 |
FTA |
| M Hill |
A87 |
NAA |
| G DiFillipo |
A93 |
DHO HWU |
| T Poulos |
A95 |
NAA |
| R Battaiola |
A96 |
DHO HWU |
| J Wallace |
A97 |
NAA |
| M King |
A99 |
HWU |
| P Campbell |
A100 |
NLK |
| S Bressan |
A101 |
DHO |
| F Steyn |
A102 |
NAA NWC |
| D Welch |
A104 |
NAA |
| L Observatory |
A107 |
DHO |
|
| The events listed above meet at least one of the following criteria |
- Event reported by two or more observers within +/- 5 minutes
- Event matched to GOES-8 XRA event to within +/- 15 minutes and event time < 1000 UT
- Reported by observer with a high quality rating > 8 (scale 1-10)
|
|
The month of March started out with a day of SID events that was to be a sure sign of the days ahead. On march 1st there were no fewer than seven correlated events. I myself, as I'm sure others did as well, observered four of them in the short 8 hour day when the Ionosphere is stable at this time of year. The rest of the month proved just as active with not only significant flare activity but visual sunspot activity as well. A fun month for all of us. The 18th and 19th was particularly active with many flares, some of them quite powerful. The end of the month as active as well as it still is as of this writing.
The GOES-8 Satellite recorded 214 X-Ray flare events. Of these, 7 were M-Class and 2 were X-Class events; One on the 17th and one on the 18th. SID observers recorded a total of 63 events, the most since last November. Curiously none were recorded for the 17th. There were certainly flares that day, one of them an X-Class event. What happened? Well unfortunately the 17th was a Monday. As many of us in the Eastern half of the United States monitor NAA, we missed all the events because this is the day that NAA shuts down for maintenance. Most of the stronger, observable events occurred during the hours of 15 - 23 UT when we would normally be the most likely to see them. That day we didn't. It looks like some of us should try to get a second station in our sights to provide Monday coverage for these UT times. Speaking of station maintenance, a few weeks ago someone asked that others post known maintenance times for stations they observer. I saved all the responses and have compiled a list for you to refer to. If you have any additions, please send them along to me. I will add them to the list.
VLF Stations - Known Maintenance Days (off-Air)
| Station |
Frequency |
Day |
Time |
| NWC |
19.8 Khz |
Monday |
0 - 8 UT |
| DHO |
23.4 Khz |
Everyday |
7 8 UT |
| NAA |
24.0 Khz |
Monday |
12 20 UT |
| NLK |
24.8 Khz |
Thursday |
15 ?? UT |
| ??? (North Dakota) |
25.2 Khz |
Teusday |
12 20 UT |
|