International
Center for Relativistic Astrophysics
Physics
Department
University
of Rome “La Sapienza”
Piazzale
Aldo Moro 5
00185
Rome, Italy
Dorrit Hoffleit
Department
of Astronomy
Yale
University
Riccardo Coccioli
Physics
Department
University
of Rome “La Sapienza”
Presented
at the 90th AAVSO Spring Meeting, May 5, 2001
Abstract
We gathered the maxima of Mira Ceti (1596-2000) in order to evaluate
the frequency of two consecutive bright apparitions. We did an evaluation of
the correlation between two following maxima in order to verify the probability
of occurrence of two consecutive bright maxima.
Analyzing the maxima of Mira, we found a probability of seeing it
brighter than a Ceti once every 21 years. In this case, as in February
1997, Mira can be detected at the first sight as a new component near the most
significant asterism in its zone, composed of a, g, and d Ceti.
We found also a correlation between the magnitude of two consecutive
maxima described by the linear fit:
Mi+1 - Mi = - (1.10 ± 0.08) Mi + (3.74 ± 0.26), with R = -0.74.
This study was done to test
whether Mira could have been the Star of Bethlehem and fulfilled the hypothesis
suggested by Kepler of a new star that appeared during the triple conjunction
at 1° of Jupiter and Saturnthat occurred in 7-6 B.C.E.