AAVSO: American Association of Variable Star Observers
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Chaos and Variable Stars: Good News and Bad

Volume 17 number 2 (1988)

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Charles A. Whitney

Abstract

A computer program is used to illustrate several qualitative features of chaotic behavior in a non-linear third-order system: a) The properties of the system depend strongly on the values assigned to the adjustable parameters; b) In the chaotic domain, the trajectory of the system is very sensitive to the starting point, which is the bad news, as it means long-range prediction is impossible; c) Simple systems can display very complex behavior, which is the good news, as it implies that irregular variables may be explainable by simple physics.